Economists have been watching the yield curve closely for several months, pointing to its inversion as a clear sign of a recession, but now many of them believe that the…
Tag: yield curve
Recession Alarm Rings On Wall Street
The yield curve, which shows how interest rates on different U.S. government bonds such as 3-month bills, 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes compare, as well as functions as a recession…
Why The Yield Curve Matters
In a video shared on the Fisher Investments YouTube channel, Ken Fisher explains the yield curve and why it’s important. There’s been a lot of conversation about the yield curve…
Should Investors Fear the Yield Curve Inversion?
By Jack Forehand, CFA, CFP® (@practicalquant) — It seems like are never a shortage of issues out there that can cause fear for investors. There is always at least some wall of worry…
The Inversion Worth Worrying About
In a December article for Bloomberg, columnist Nir Kaissar argues that, albeit troubling, all the hype about a potential yield curve inversion is “overdone, at least so far.” Instead, he…
Flat Yield Curve Inverted in December
An article published in Bloomberg early last month reported that “a section of the U.S. Treasuries yield curve just inverted for the first time in more than a decade,” with…
Should the Coming Yield Curve Inversion Frighten Investors?
A recent article in Forbes discusses the growing buzz about an impending yield curve inversion and the repercussions for the economy and stock market. “Inverted yield curves have successfully warned…
Stock Investors: Don't Fear Flattening Yield Curve
An article in last month’s Barron’s offer six reasons why equity investors should not be put off by a flattening yield curve (the difference between the yields on the 10-year and two-year…
Signals from the U.S. Yield Curve
The difference between the two-and ten-year Treasury yield is the narrowest since 2007, a signal that “the market thinks the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate increases, which are driving short-term yields higher,…
Powerful Recession Signal Getting Wall Street's Attention
The yield curve—the difference between short-term and long-term government bond yields—is “perilously close to predicting a recession—something it has done before with surprising accuracy,” says a recent article in The…
