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Tag: forecasts

Humbling the Forecasters & Learning Lessons
5 months ago
Humbling the Forecasters & Learning Lessons

By Justin Carbonneau (@jjcarbonneau) — As we roll into year-end, the prediction business is about to pick up steam. Business channels and investing columns will soon be filled with lists…

Wall Street’s Forecasts Need To Adjust
8 months ago
Wall Street’s Forecasts Need To Adjust

Wall Street has been scrambling to readjust its recession calls since the Fed raised rates last month, and now most models predict the probability of a recession within the next…

Odds Of U.S. Recession 35%, Says Goldman Sachs
11 months ago
Odds Of U.S. Recession 35%, Says Goldman Sachs

If history has anything to say, the Fed has a rough road ahead as they try to tighten monetary policy enough to stem inflation and still avoid a U.S. recession.…

12 years ago
Putting All Your Chips in Hot, High-Growth Areas? Think Again

In a two-part series for Canada’s Globe and Mail, Validea CEO John Reese shows how chasing hot sectors or regions can lead to big trouble for stock investors. In Part…

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Recent Original Research
March 8, 2023
The Surprising Investment Factor That Defies the Risk-Return...
By Jack Forehand, CFA, CFP® (@practicalquant) — There are some core principles that are supposed to govern investing. If I were to ask you to come up with the most important one of those principles off the top of your...
February 22, 2023
A Detailed Look at the Quality Factor
By Jack Forehand, CFA, CFP® (@practicalquant) — We all want to own great companies. We look at Warren Buffett’s success and want to own the same types of businesses he did. We love high returns on capital. We love great...
February 15, 2023
Unlocking the Market’s Mood: Tools for Measuring Stock...
By Justin Carbonneau (@jjcarbonneau) — In our recent podcast with Ray Micaletti, we talked about his relative sentiment approach to investing. Ray uses retail and institutional investor sentiment to build quantitative investment strategies. That conversation, along with...
February 8, 2023
Where Valuations Stand After the Market’s Strong Start...
By Jack Forehand, CFA, CFP® (@practicalquant) — 2023 has been a great year for the market so far. Despite the negative sentiment coming into the year, falling inflation and interest rates coupled with decent earnings so far have provided fuel...
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